In the ultra-exclusive world of the extremely wealthy, the market for Good Class Bungalows (GCBs) has seen a significant increase in performance compared to 2023, according to Han Huan Mei, director of research at List Sotheby’s International Realty. As of December 20th, URA Realis records show a total of 22 GCB transactions worth $612.05 million. In addition, there were another 13 GCB deals, valued at over $700 million, which were completed this year without caveats lodged. This brings the total estimated number of 2024 to 35 GCB transactions, which is worth roughly $1.32 billion according to List Sotheby’s estimates, surpassing the previous high of $1.186 billion achieved in 2022. In contrast, there were only 18 GCB transactions in 2023, worth $432.5 million, which is the lowest number recorded since URA Realis began tracking data in January 1995.
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“The additional deals in 2024 show that the GCB market has been more active compared to what official transaction data reveals,” says Han. “It also reinforces the status of GCBs as a highly coveted asset that is constantly sought after by ultra-high-net-worth buyers.”
Top GCB transactions
The top transaction is a GCB at Tanglin Hill which was sold for $93.888 million. The property sits on a freehold plot measuring 15,150 sq ft and has a built-up area of 29,660 sq ft. This transaction set a new record with a land rate of $6,197 psf. The second-largest GCB transaction was the purchase of a property at Bin Tong Park for $84 million by Xiang Yangyang, daughter of Chinese nickel billionaire Xiang Guangda, according to a document search. However, no caveat was lodged for the property. Based on the land area of 28,111 sq ft, the price translates to a land rate of $2,988 psf. The highest-priced deal based on lodged caveats was for a GCB on Cluny Hill, which was sold for $52 million. It sits on a freehold plot measuring 15,141 sq ft and is relatively new, fetching a land rate of $3,434 psf. Another significant transaction was the sale of a 21,116 sq ft GCB plot at Astrid Hill for $49 million ($2,321 psf) in July. The property was reportedly purchased by Glenn Kuok, nephew of Kuok Khoon Hong, chairman and CEO of Wilmar International.
Mohan Sandrasegeran, head of research and data analytics at Singapore Realtors Inc (SRI), notes that at least 14 transactions this year were valued at $20 million or more, highlighting the strong demand for ultra-luxury properties in Singapore. According to him, District 10 remains the cornerstone of the GCB market, with 16 transactions taking place in prime areas like Tanglin, Bukit Timah, and Holland Road.
Sustained buying activity
Sandrasegeran notes that GCB transactions were evenly spread throughout the year, with buying activity increasing from July. “Overall, the fact that we saw GCB deals closing throughout the year suggests sustained buying interest for these trophy properties despite external economic factors, such as inflationary pressures and the presence of high interest rates in the first eight months of the year,” he says.
Steve Tay, co-founder and executive director of his eponymous boutique luxury agency in Singapore, says the trajectory of interest rates signaled by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), rather than the rate cuts themselves, was the main driver of stronger buying sentiment in the GCB market during the second half of the year.
The Fed implemented three rate cuts this year: the most recent being a 25 basis point (bp) reduction on December 18th, following earlier cuts of 50 bp in September and 25 bp in November. Anecdotally, Tay says most GCB buyers who had been holding back on their purchases began more serious discussions from July onwards, with most deals closing in the last quarter of this year.
The GCB market slowed last year as buyers retreated following the island-wide arrests of suspects in Singapore’s biggest money-laundering case, says Han of List Sotheby’s. “The money laundering crackdown had a dampening effect on the market, causing some genuine buyers to pull back to avoid media attention,” she adds. “Transactions also took longer to close due to heightened scrutiny and stricter checks on buyers’ identities and sources of funds.”
Up-and-coming wealthy take the stage
A new generation of ultra-wealthy Singaporeans has emerged in the GCB market in recent years, with many young and successful entrepreneurs who have made their fortunes in technology, finance, commodities, and F&B businesses, according to Tay. He adds that ultra-wealthy and newly naturalized Singaporeans also contribute to the pool of GCB buyers who prefer sizable plots in prime districts. “However, the number of naturalized citizens buying GCBs still remains low compared to local wealthy individuals,” says Tay.
According to research from List Sotheby’s, the cost of developing a new GCB from the ground up is estimated at about $1,000 psf and takes several years to complete. Hence, most buyers are looking for relatively new bungalows in move-in condition to minimize renovation works, observes Han.
“The GCB market will likely maintain its positive momentum, with demand from ultra-high-net-worth individuals driving its high-value transactions,” says Sandrasegeran of SRI. “The preference for privacy among GCB buyers and sellers could mean continued off-market transactions, adding the complexity of tracking market activity.”…